AN OVERVIEW OF PUBLICATIONS ON SCENARIO MODELING IN THE DESIGN OF FOREST ROADS

 E. S. Podolskaia^1,2, Yu. V. Shatalin²

 

¹Isaev Centre for Forest Ecology and Productivity of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Profsoyuznaya st. 84/32 bldg. 14, Moscow 117997, Russian Federation

                                           ²National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE University)                           

20 Myasnitskaya st., Moscow, 101000, Russia

E-mail: podols_kate@mail.ru; y-shatalin@mail.ru

Received: 30.04.2025

Revised: 26.05.2025

Accepted: 02.06.2025

 

Paper aims to review and systematize scenario modeling work in the design and construction of forest roads at the regional level. The research objectives are: to analyze the current state of forest transport planning and design issues; to describe the history, features and advantages of scenario modeling with examples in the forest complex; to study the use of scenario modeling for solving forest complex problems; and to review the modern tools, methods and data for scenario forestry transport modeling. A table of scenario modeling types has been compiled as applied to the design and construction of forest roads based on the papers from Russia, Australia, Sweden, Romania and Finland. The graphic part of review is presented by a number of tools: a cloud of words for the papers names and the geographical names mentioned, as well as the construction of a connectivity diagram for the names of Russian and foreign papers. There is more connectivity among the English-language papers (1991-2018) than among Russian examples (1977-2021). Citation analysis of Russian and foreign papers showed the dominance of the latter due to the fact that they are written in English and, accordingly, are aimed at researchers around the world, as well as due to the earlier research dates. In conclusion we state that there is an insufficient amount of work on the forestry transport scenarios (researches of late 2000s and early 2010) and the need to use methods and technologies that have become available for modeling and building scenarios in recent years.

 Keywords: scenarios, scenario modeling, regional level, forest complex, forest roads, GIS

 

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