{"id":7527,"date":"2025-07-25T12:27:41","date_gmt":"2025-07-25T09:27:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/?p=7527"},"modified":"2025-07-29T23:05:21","modified_gmt":"2025-07-29T20:05:21","slug":"8-2-2025-podolskaiashatalin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/en\/8-2-2025-podolskaiashatalin\/","title":{"rendered":"AN OVERVIEW OF PUBLICATIONS ON SCENARIO MODELING  IN THE DESIGN OF FOREST ROADS"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a style=\"color: #000000;\" href=\"http:\/\/jfsi.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/8-2-2025-Podolskaia&#038;Shatalin.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1122 alignright\" src=\"http:\/\/jfsi.ru\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/10\/pdf.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"32\" height=\"32\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><strong>E. <\/strong><\/span><strong style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">S. Podolskaia<sup>1,2<\/sup>, Yu. V. Shatalin<sup>2<\/sup><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><em><sup>1<\/sup><\/em><em>Isaev Centre for Forest Ecology and Productivity of the Russian Academy of Sciences<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><em>Profsoyuznaya st. 84\/32 bldg. 14, <\/em><em>Moscow 117997<\/em><em>,<\/em><em> Russian Federation<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><em><sup>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a02<\/sup><\/em><em>National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE University)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><em>20 Myasnitskaya st., Moscow, 101000, Russia<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">E-mail: podols_kate@mail.ru; y-shatalin@mail.ru<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Received: 30.04.2025<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Revised: 26.05.2025<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Accepted: 02.06.2025<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Paper aims to review and systematize scenario modeling work in the design and construction of forest roads at the regional level. The research objectives are: to analyze the current state of forest transport planning and design issues; to describe the history, features and advantages of scenario modeling with examples in the forest complex; to study the use of scenario modeling for solving forest complex problems; and to review the modern tools, methods and data for scenario forestry transport modeling. A table of scenario modeling types has been compiled as applied to the design and construction of forest roads based on the papers from Russia, Australia, Sweden, Romania and Finland. The graphic part of review is presented by a number of tools: a cloud of words for the papers names and the geographical names mentioned, as well as the construction of a connectivity diagram for the names of Russian and foreign papers. There is more connectivity among the English-language papers (1991-2018) than among Russian examples (1977-2021). Citation analysis of Russian and foreign papers showed the dominance of the latter due to the fact that they are written in English and, accordingly, are aimed at researchers around the world, as well as due to the earlier research dates. In conclusion we state that there is an insufficient amount of work on the forestry transport scenarios (researches of late 2000s and early 2010) and the need to use methods and technologies that have become available for modeling and building scenarios in recent years.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><strong><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/strong><\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><strong><em>Keywords:<\/em><\/strong><em> scenarios, scenario modeling, regional level, forest complex, forest roads, GIS<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><strong>REFERENCES<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Bakulina M., Skvorcova Ya., Prognozirovanie metodom scenariev (Scenario-based forecasting), <em>Ekonomika i socium<\/em>, 2012, Vol 5. 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V., Levina I. V., Razvitie seti lesnyh dorog v Respublike Komi (Development of forest road network in the Komi Republic), <em>Regional&#8217;naya ekonomika: teoriya i praktika<\/em>, 2010, No 5, pp. 11\u201315.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><em>\u00a0<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0E. S. Podolskaia1,2, Yu. V. Shatalin2 \u00a0 1Isaev Centre for Forest Ecology and Productivity of the Russian Academy of Sciences Profsoyuznaya st. 84\/32 bldg. 14, Moscow 117997, Russian Federation \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[38],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7527"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7527"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7527\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7593,"href":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7527\/revisions\/7593"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7527"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7527"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jfsi.ru\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7527"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}